Quarterly Returns – Q1 2021

Quarterly return posts supplement my monthly Financial Dashboard, covering investments in detail and looking at my yearly targets. Here I track purchases and sales, document progress against my (in progress) investment strategy, and discuss re-balancing and changes over time.

Time seems to be passing so quickly at the moment. I’m sure COVID and restrictions have removed our mental ability to signpost time with activities and events. Through this blur we’re into Q2 of 2021, which means a bit of a financial update…

2021 Net Worth

Q1 Returns:

  • Cash Accounts £12,100 (+£100)
  • Investments £9,650 (+£1,700)
  • Property £49,000 (-£700)
  • Cars £2000 (no changes)

This quarter has mainly been steady-as-she-goes from a financial point of view. I reduced the property valuation for our home to something more conservative, which has resulted in a nominal paper loss. We’re actually up in equity, and moving to a new 5-year fixed rate at 1.69%. Slow and steady has seen my net worth rise by about £3k so far this year, a few percent. Not sure if I’ll match last years 20% rise maintaining this rate.

Investments:

I’m not going to review my goals each quarter this year other than to say I have somehow managed a mean 41.5% savings rate so far (target 35%), I’ve knocked £1.1k off my credit card (£3k to go), and I’m enjoying spending more time pottering with hobbies. Instead the Quarterly Returns will focus more on what I’m doing with investments. I’ve continued to put away £250 in cash/month, building the emergency fund further in the Principality Thank You Saver, which is a 1.4% regular saving offering for NHS workers in South Wales (1).

Rough Global Asset Allocation
Cash-Equity Split in Portfolio
Passive Core vs Active Satellite Ratio

Core/ Satellite Passive/ Active Split

Been busy in my Freetrade account this quarter (fancy a free share? Sign up to Freetrade using this link, and we both get one). January just saw further purchases into iShares MSCI EM and Vanguard FTSE All World. February was much more active. I added to previous holdings of Unilever, whom I am mainly buying as a solid, dividend paying consumer staple. I do not see Unilever going anywhere any time soon (see Warren Buffet school of thought – buying something you can forget about for 10 years and expect to still exist), and they have a very strong corporate sustainability goals which I approve of. I also bought a small amount of IQE, a South Wales computer chip firm. Their share price is volatile (++) and I’m currently down about 15% on the beer money that went in there. This was a bit of a home market bias purchase, but also a potential future growth buy as they’re in the 5G game and chip manufacturers are currently struggling to keep up with demand. There’s also massive investment into S Wales computer chip foundries by Welsh Gov, so thought I’d get some skin in.

Towards the end of Feb I sold out of DS Smith (held for about a year) at a 45% profit. That money got put back into further Vanguard FTSE All World. Around this time I was nosing around r/wallstreetbets, and jumped on the AMC/GME bandwagon, riding these meme stocks up for a 65% return. I bought a small amount of Palantir, another meme stock, again beer money. This one is at a fairly daft PE ratio, but as I dabble more in big data through work I can see the difference this will make to retail/ government/ industry in the future, and this small holding is a gamble towards that. I sold out of GME at the end of March, buying further Vanguard FTSE All World with the stake and profit. GME continues to be a casino, waiting for that lift off to the moon that may never come.

The final note is to say that this portfolio calculation does not include my CrowdCube gambles/investments. I recently had an email to say that Freetrade are offering a share sale opportunity as an institutional investor buys in. The share valuation from that sale puts my holding up about 80%. I’ll continue to hold that to see where it goes.

Happy spring everyone,

The Shrink

References:

  1. https://www.principality.co.uk/savings-accounts/everyday-savings-accounts/thank-you-online-saver

The Financial Dashboard – March 2021

The goals for March were:

  • Update online investment tracker and calculate rebalancing required
  • Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure
  • ?Modified paleo

Checking the assets and liabilities:

March Assets and Liabilities

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. March has been a long and busy month, days getting longer and lighter. Lots of DIY in the house and gardening, sowing the seeds for the summer. Looking forward to things opening up, going to the gym, getting in the pub with friends. I saved just under 25% of my salary, a slightly disappointing result, however my net worth continued it’s 2.5%/month climb. New investment money went into my Freetrade account, and where it has gone in a mixture of active positions which I’ll cover in my quarterly investment update.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal passed: Update online investment tracker and calculate rebalancing required

I’m terrible at keeping my tracker up to date (now done), and I really need to get into the habit of updating it when I do my budget spreadsheet. Recently I’ve been selling some positions, and it’s shown that my current tracker is not built to handle such active antics. Probably a goal for next month.

Goal passed: Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure

This was a really simple and nice thing to do for myself. I’ve got a lot more done on projects and hobbies, and felt more relaxed without the internal cognitive pressure and subsequent procrastination. Fewer goals and more downtime.

Goal failed: ?Modified paleo

A bit of an odd goal. A few years ago I went paleo for a couple of months, but having dug into the evidence base wasn’t convinced by the literature or the theory. I also tried 5:2, where the evidence of the benefits of fasting on hormone response (particularly insulin and the steroid-aldosterone pathways) and cell senescence is much more solid. That stalled when I struggled with brain fog and general hanger – it was a serious challenge on night shifts! Over the past few months I’ve been reading a variety of books about nutrition, particularly ‘The Warrior Diet’ (reasonable concept, shit scientific background and execution) and stuff on 16/8 fasting. I’ve changed some of my diet, but need to take this a bit further.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £274.70, last month £187.75 – Not really groceries, just lots of stuff from the middle of Lidl/Aldi
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £127.98, last month £117.88 – Since the new COVID changes in Wales we’ve been doing lots of garden/park coffees and takeaways (fish and chips FTW) with friends. Whoops!
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £294.80, last month £123 – Given this includes a full years insurance I’m pretty happy with a slight overspend
  • Holiday – £150, spent £0, last month £0
  • Personal – £100/ £54.62/ £210.55
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £200/ £250
  • Misc – £50/ £325.34/ £65 – Bits for the house
  • Fees – £300 /£103.62/ £144

In the garden:

Finishing digging over soil, and first outdoor peas gone in (potentially a bit early given the recent snow). Raked over the lawn and re-sown. Mulched flower beds. Greenhouse glass cleaned, and it’s now packed with germinating seeds.

Goals for next month:

  • Simplify and improve flexibility of online investment tracker
  • 16/8 fasting
  • Set up new ISA
  • Final repainting and touches to downstairs rooms

Happy April everyone!

The Shrink

The Financial Dashboard – February 2021

The goals for February were:

  • Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure
  • Test intermittent fasting
  • Organise remortgage

Checking the assets and liabilities:

February’s Assets and Liabilities

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. February started pretty miserable, the cold weather and lockdown leaving me in a proper funk, little motivation to do anything. Reading blogs like Weenie’s, it sounds like I wasn’t the only one (1). I’m not one to spend my way out of a malaise, so it was actually a pretty frugal month. I saved over 40% of my salary, and I’ve been making some overpayments on my credit card plan from overtime money. New investment money went into my Freetrade account, where it’s sat while I work out where it needs to go based on my rebalancing act/plan.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal passed: Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure

This is something I would recommend for everyone. I’m a very goal driven person, and I motivate myself by setting goals and internal deadlines. This can lead me to get stressed over my ‘made up’ deadlines for doing essentially irrelevant things; repainting a wall, repotting daffodils. By making a few hours a week to just do things if/ when I feel like it, a lot of things which felt like chores I now enjoy again. It’s theoretically a ‘mindful’ process, focusing on the moment rather than wider requirements and activities, but mindfulness has definitely got overblown.

Goal passed: Test intermittent fasting

This wasn’t particularly to lose weight, but because I’ve been reading lots about cell senescence recently, and the cardiovascular and glucose-metabolism benefits of periods of fasting. I tried this month, and it definitely doesn’t work for me. In the past I’ve tried 5:2 fasting on a friends recommendation, but found I get indescribably hangry, and lose all ability to concentrate. This time I tried a 16 hour fast four days a week, going 8pm to 12 noon. I didn’t get hangry, but I did lose all productivity. I also found I was ravenous by noon, and tended to eat twice what I would normally for lunch/dinner. I don’t think this is a good thing for me; it seems to suggest I’m highly dependent on dietary intake to maintain my blood sugar for functioning, but in the absence of a couple of weeks off to fast without productivity consequences I’m a bit stuck. I went through a period of eating a diet which could best be described as ‘modified paleo’ a few years back, so I might go back to that drawing board and do some further reading.

Goal passed: Organise remortgage

For various administrative reasons we have been on a split pot mortgage since we moved into our current property. This meant two different interest rates, fixed for two different periods, with different charges. One came out of it’s fixed rate offer last year, and the other (the larger) is due to revert to standard tracker rate in June. It’s therefore time to change. We had a look through the usual price comparison sites, and then spoke to a specialist financial advice company for medical types, who put us on to their broker. Who were London & Country (2). Who seem to be the people pretty much everyone use. Either way, we’re moving from the combo of 4.09% (small pot)/ 1.68% (big pot) to a combined 1.65% mortgage, fixed for five years, which will start from the day our old deal ends (fingers crossed). Wholly satisfactory result.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £187.75, last month £181.70
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £117.88, last month £100
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £123, last month £123 – remarkable consistency given it’s mostly odd eBay parts
  • Holiday – £150, spent £0, last month £0
  • Personal – £100/ £210.55/ £78 – Gifts for friends
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £250/ £255
  • Misc – £50/ £65/ £96
  • Fees – £300 /£144/ £302

In the garden:

Continued tidying ahead of spring, but also started to germinate my first lettuces and other early crops. The bluebells and daffodils are starting to come up, and everything feels a little bit more alive.

Goals for next month:

  • Update online investment tracker and calculate rebalancing required
  • Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure
  • ?Modified paleo

Happy March everyone!

The Shrink

References:

  1. https://quietlysaving.co.uk/2021/03/02/february-2021-plus-other-updates/#more-5951#
  2. https://www.landc.co.uk/

The Financial Dashboard – January 2021

The goals for January were:

  • Cut down on takeaway spend
  • Make plan for clearing credit card debt
  • Exercise five days/ week
  • Revisit emergency fund allocation

Checking the assets and liabilities:

January’s Assets and Liabilities

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. Wales continues in lockdown (six weeks and counting), so there’s no frivolous spending on dining out or trips away. I managed to save just under 30% of my salary, as much went to recoup some ‘float’ funds which were spent over Christmas (I don’t count this as saving). I’ve opened a new regular savings account, but for this month my money went to paydown my 0% interest credit card. New investment money in the Freetrade S&S ISA went to increase previous holdings.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal passed: Cut down on takeaway spend

Bit of a simple one this, and passed easily, partly by ordering cheaper takeaway (swap that indian for a fish and chips), and partly by reducing the number. We’ve had a lot of vouchers come through from JustEat and Deliveroo, but that is a very slippery slope.

Goal passed: Make a plan for clearing credit card debt

As of the end of January my credit card debt stands at £3,431. This was one transaction – buying new windows for our house – and is on a 0% interest card with 20 months interest free left to run. With this in mind I’ve decided to pay it down over minimum twelve months. I will pay £100 a month direct into the account, and a further £250 into a Principality Thank You savings account (1). This is an online regular savings account available to NHS staff in South Wales with a 1.40% interest rate. I’ll stooze the interest rate, and at the end of the year pay off the credit card (2). I’m also working a fair bit of overtime here and there, so that will go direct into the credit card (currently about £100-300/month after tax).

Goal passed: Exercise five days/ week

I’ve now got a routine where I exercise before work every day, and I feel fresher and healthier for it. It also makes weekend lie-ins a proper treat.

Goal passed: Revisit emergency fund allocation

I last looked at how my cash savings and emergency funds were flowing back in November 2019. Since then I’ve moved my accounts around, the savings landscape has changed (3% interest rate on my old Monmouthshire account!) and I’m close to hitting my emergency fund goal. With that in mind, I’ve redrawn my cash flow and how I’m going to structure my emergency funds.

Cash flow. Amazing what you can do in Powerpoint.

This gives a rough idea of where my money flows. I use two main bank accounts to distribute my expenses and provide a predictable and trackable flow. Bills and investments are paid first. I use ‘pots’ for predictable future expenses; saving cash for things like MOT and car servicing, professional bills etc. I also run a £500 float ‘pot’ in my secondary account, which acts like an overdraft of just-in-case money each month. Beyond that my emergency funds are split into instant access, <24 hours to receipt and 3-5 days to receipt accounts (i.e. the money arriving in my main bank account). I ultimately want to have a division of £500 float, £5,500 <24 hours, £6,000 three-five days. From where I’m currently sat I’ll need a further £1,500 premium bonds and £1,300 in cash savings accounts. A goal for this year as part of my annual plan.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £181.70, last month £331.35 – Back on track
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £100, last month £70
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £123, last month £455.11
  • Holiday – £150, spent £0, last month £0
  • Personal – £100/ £78/ £359
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £255/ £89
  • Misc – £50/ £96/ £50
  • Fees – £300 /£302/ £304

In the garden:

Working over raised beds with new compost (and removing a lot of general rubbish) where they got thrown together with anything I could get my hands on previously. General mooching.

Goals for next month:

  • Make a few hours each week to enjoy hobbies without pressure
  • Test intermittent fasting
  • Organise remortgage

Happy February everyone!

The Shrink

References:

  1. https://www.principality.co.uk/savings-accounts/everyday-savings-accounts/thank-you-online-saver
  2. https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/credit-cards/stooze-cash-credit-cards/

Quarterly Returns – Q4 and 2020 in review

Quarterly return posts supplement my monthly Financial Dashboard, covering investments in detail and looking at my yearly targets. Here I track purchases and sales, document progress against my (in progress) investment strategy, and discuss re-balancing and changes over time.

So that’s 2020 done and dusted, a global annus horribilis. For some it’s seen mounting debt, for others an opportunity to save. I’ve spent a lot of time reflecting. Here’s the update.

Q4 Returns:

Net worth excluding my DB pension & student loan
  • Cash Accounts £12,000 (-£1,300)
  • Investments £7,950 (+£1,850)
  • Property £49,700 (+£1,100)
  • Cars £2000 (no changes)

This quarter we finished some major house renovations, had a tiny UK-based holiday, and spent the rest of the time locked down and hermit-like at home gorging on fancy food. House renovations sucked up some saved cash, but my net worth was boosted by my continued investment and the stock market bounce back.

As a result of the above my net worth now sits at ~£67,500. This has continued the rough progression of £20k/year increases; my end of 2018 net worth was ~£28,500, and end of 2019 was ~£49,700. Unlike previous years this increase hasn’t been smooth, and has seen decreases in some months (renovation spending, stock market falls). I’ve mean averaged a monthly net worth increase of 1.7%, combining to a year total of ~20%.

Yearly Targets:

Goal 1: Build an emergency fund

My first 2019/20 goal was to build an emergency fund, as per the r/UKpersonalfinance flow chart (1). My goal emergency fund is three months total household expenses (£6k) in my name, plus a further three months (£6k) held jointly.

I currently hold £12k in cash accounts, so by rights this goal should count as complete. I’ve learnt over the course of the year that holding cash in our joint current account is not sensible, as it tends to evaporate purchasing nice things for our house/ life. Lifestyle creep I suppose. £8,800 of my emergency fund is in my name, split about 50% premium bonds, 40% cash saver, and 10% Starling ‘pot’. The Starling emergency pot is the instant access option, with the cash saver available in 24-48 hours, and the premium bonds <5 days.

For 2021 £12k remains my emergency fund target. Our stripped back monthly household expenses run around £1,800-2,000, so £12k allows a six month buffer. I plan to make my emergency fund (almost) entirely separate from the rest of my cash accounts. This means upping a few pots to be about £6k premium bonds and £4.5k cash saver, with the rest in my Starling pot and our joint current account. I also need to get my unsecured debts back to £0. So for 2021, the goal is: Finalise emergency fund structure and pay off credit card.

Goal 2: Save 30% of my income

I calculate my savings rate using this formula:

Savings rate as % = ((Income – spend) + Cash savings + Investments + Pension contributions) / (Income + Pension contributions)

2020 Savings Rate

Despite the wobbles thanks to (a) NHS payroll and (b) house renovations, I’ve smashed my savings rate goal with an end year mean average of 34.7%. This is way above previous years (2018 15%, 2019 23.5%). I blame lockdown. In line with my plan for incremental goals, 2021 will be: Save 35% of my income.

Goal 3: Calculate savings made by growing my own food

This goal proved to be harder than expected for two main reasons. First, it’s kind of hard to work out how much you’re actually savings; it requires tabulating all your produce and then cost comparisons with supermarkets. It’s a level of spreadsheeting that I couldn’t bring myself to. My little gardening notebook goes bare when the renovations took over my time, but I kept a rough tally. I spent ~£50 on seeds (yes, a lot) over the course of the year, and grew about ~£80 worth of veggies. Second, my own apathy as a result of the first.

I’ve learnt something important from this goal. Making targets, goals and objectives for hobbies can make them a chore. Gardening, cars and blogging are all hobbies I enjoy. They’re supposed to be relaxing. If I’m trying to reach a target then it stops being something to enjoy. The Mad Fientist covered this well in his recent post “A Better Alternative to Resolutions and Goals(2). Instead I need to just make time for the process, and let outcomes result as they will. Goal 3: Make goalless time every month for hobbies.

Goal 4: Make changes to reduce carbon footprint

It feels like lockdown has enforced this on so many people. We have not flown or been abroad for holidays. My commute is a fraction of what it was. We continue to eat local produce, and we use Splosh for our household cleaning (3). If you want to give them a go use referral code YQL240THX1 to get 15% off. We use Bulb for our energy. We rarely buy new clothes, and if we do they are organic sustainable cotton or wool. We’ve been buying gifts and household items from the local zero-waste shop. Our veg/ fruit comes from either the local organic co-operative, or if from a supermarket we only buy seasonal UK stuff. Our meat comes from a fantastic butcher who only sources local, high welfare animals. We’ve reduced our meat consumption so it’s a treat, roughly now three veg, two fish, two meat/ week. Next steps will be switching to milk bottle delivery, and getting our fish delivered by the local fishmonger from UK catch. Overall, I feel like we’ve made quite a few low-hanging lifestyle changes.

From here, it’s thinking about bigger impact changes we can make. Switching to an electric car is tempting, but probably not meaningful given the tiny amount of driving we do in efficient, older cars. Installing solar panels/ ground source heat pumps etc are probably not economical until we have a larger home. Suggestions welcome.

Goal 5: Automate investments and savings

Another success from this year, automating things so I pay my Freetrade account first. My regular savers have come to an end, and as noted above, I’m pretty close to my emergency fund target. I’ve recently found out about the Principality Thank You Saver, which is a 1.4% regular saving offering for NHS workers in South Wales (4). Lovely stuff. I’ll be using that to top off my emergency funds. In my investments, I’ve mixed adding new funds/ stocks and topping up existing holdings.

Rough Global Asset Allocation
Asset Allocation in Investment Portfolios
Core to Satellite Ratio

Core/ Satellite Passive/ Active Split

I’ve basically spent this quarter topping up my iShares EM ETF and Vanguard FTSE All World holdings (fancy a free share? Sign up to Freetrade using this link, and we both get one). The YTD time-weighted rate of return is 13.44% in my Freetrade ISA, whilst my Vanguard ISA has a 23.15% absolute return. The graphics in my Freetrade account suggest my time-weighted rate of return is a couple of percentage points above VWRL, whilst maintaining a smoother progression thanks to holdings in TRIG, UKW and a couple of consumer staples. I really need to benchmark my investment spreadsheet to properly calculate this.

I continue holding some cash as a buffer. I’ve gradually realised I am actually more risk averse that I thought. I idealise that I am gung ho, and willing to YOLO on individual stonks. My behaviour pattern is quite the opposite, as although I’m holding lots of equities and DIDN’T SELL!!1!!111!, I didn’t buy cheap tech stocks, instead purchasing counter-cyclical holdings. Hindsight is 2020.

Plans for 2021:

Some changes here. I’ve been reading a lot of Slate Star Codex, and in that vein I am going to start assigning goals predictions on whether I will achieve them. I’ll also make some rough predictions with conviction percentages for the next year. I already do this in as part of my Investment Strategy Statement and in a paper diary about my personal life, so I might as well move it here, with passages redacted. This is essentially an experiment analyse my underlying bullish/ bearish traits at future predictions. Therefore, targeted goals:

  • Finalise emergency fund structure and pay off credit card – 80%
  • Save 35% of my income – 40%
  • Make goalless time every month for hobbies – 60%

Predictions.

  1. UK vaccination will be completed before the July – 75%
  2. Greater than 200,000 UK COVID deaths – 30%
  3. UK has worst death rate as percentage of the population in the world – 60%
  4. Under-reporting in developing nations hides significant pandemic effects – 90%
  5. The UK tier system is still in use in December 2021 – 60%
  6. The UK experiences another ‘lockdown’ in winter 2021/2 – 75%
  7. COVID-19 mutates into a form immune to the current vaccine – 40%
  8. I am personally working in office >80% of the time again at some point in 2021 – 10%
  9. Someone I am close to will die of COVID-19 – 25%
  10. Endemic COVID-19 circulates in the population with lockdown easing and shops re-opening – 80%
  11. … and self-isolation becomes normalised – 80%
  12. … and higher death rates tolerated among the over 50s with consistent effect on life expectancy by end 2021 – 75%
  13. Boris resigns – 60%
  14. Keir Starmer above BoJo in the opinion polls – 80%
  15. Inflation above 2% – 75%
  16. … due to Brexit-resultant shipping and food cost rises – 60%
  17. There are resultant food shortages – 10%
  18. Homeless rate rises – 95%
  19. Foodbank usage rises – 95%
  20. House prices continue to increase – 75%
  21. FTSE100 above 7,000 – 60%
  22. FTSE100 remains above 6,500 – 80%
  23. FTSE100 hits 7,500 – 20%
  24. FTSE250 hits 22,000 – 60%
  25. S&P500 hits 4,000 – 75%
  26. S&P500 hits 2,500 – 30%
  27. £ hits $1.40 – 50%
  28. We have £100k in equity – 95%
  29. We start to overpay our mortgage – 30%
  30. I have £15k invested – 30%
  31. I am saving £1k/month – 30%
  32. We have [redacted] – 90%
  33. MrsShrink [redacted] – 75%
  34. We replace one of our cars – 50%
  35. The project car gets repainted – 25%
  36. The project car gets sold – 10%
  37. We have a holiday – 80%
  38. Outside of the UK – 20%
  39. I learn another language – 30%
  40. I continue to exercise at least three times/ week for the whole year – 75%
  41. I can do a pull-up again – 40%
  42. I can do a hand-stand press up again – 20%
  43. I return to [redacted] – 10%
  44. I complete [redacted] – 25%
  45. My ongoing work has not conformed to anticipated plans – 90%
  46. I publish [redacted] – 90%
  47. I publish [redacted] – 25%
  48. I publish on average four posts/ month – 40%
  49. Most page views ever this year – 30%
  50. This blog gets abandoned – 10%

Let’s see how this bit of fun plays out.

Happy 2021 everyone. Let’s hope for a better year,

The Shrink

References:

  1. https://flowchart.ukpersonal.finance/
  2. https://www.madfientist.com/mastery-over-goals/
  3. https://www.splosh.com/how-it-works
  4. https://www.principality.co.uk/savings-accounts/everyday-savings-accounts/thank-you-online-saver

The Financial Dashboard – December 2020

The goals for December were:

  • Clear the garage and store the project car
  • Read a book three evenings a week
  • Cut down on takeaway spend

Checking the assets and liabilities:

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. December was predictably expensive. Here in Wales we’ve been under full lockdown since before Christmas. I appear to have made up for my inability to go out or visit friends in purchasing gifts and wine. Despite this I managed a 26% savings rate, with a paltry 1.12% increase in my net worth. This month also sees me top my all time max net worth, previously set in September prior to lots of DIY spending. My Monmouthshire regular saver has now matured, and instead I’ll probably direct that cash to pay off the new 0% credit card. I chose to pay for new windows on a 0% card rather than raiding emergency savings so it would preserve my buffer. New investment money in the Freetrade S&S ISA went to increase previous holdings.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal passed: Clear the garage and store the project car

We had been using the garage as a dumping ground for materials and waste while we continued renovations. With the house work done the state of the garage was making my skin crawl. This was compounded by a call from a family member to evacuate a 6ft by 6ft by 4ft family heirloom for storage. Clearing the garage took the full week between Christmas and New Year, and two trips to the dump (thank God they were open). I get anxious that the garage-queen project car will dissolve at the sight of road salt, so now she’s safely tucked up with the trickle-charger hooked up, surrounded by properly sorted tools. Bliss.

Goal passed: Read a book thee evenings a week

Continued to read Dan Jones’ The Plantagenets, which is taking a while given it’s an absolute monster of a book. I’ve really enjoyed making this wind-down time in the evening, and feel better for it. Need to include more positive goals like this.

Goal failed: Cut down on takeaway spend

Not a chance. Welsh national lockdown prompted us into another round of takeaways ‘as a treat’. There’s not much else to do to mark the passing of the weeks or have as a little treat. Will have to keep attacking this.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £331.35, last month £218.11 – Christmas exuberance
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £70, last month £74.50 
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £455.11, last month £470.33 – Van hire to rescue the heirloom
  • Holiday – £150, spent £0, last month £0
  • Personal – £100/ £359.05/ £108.46 – Presents, presents for everyone!
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £89/ £98
  • Misc – £50/ £47/ £442.05
  • Fees – £300 /£303.99/ £131.98 – A GMC Christmas present

In the garden:

Built a new log shed! And generally turning over the soil and tidying. Put up bird netting to separate the wild birds from our fowl. Planning for the spring.

Goals for next month:

  • Cut down on takeaway spend
  • Make plan for clearing credit card debt
  • Exercise five days/ week
  • Revisit emergency fund allocation

Happy January everyone!

The Shrink

The Financial Dashboard – November 2020

The goals for November were:

  • Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for
  • Sell five things
  • Read a book thee evenings a week
  • Cut down on takeaway spend

Checking the assets and liabilities:

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. A bit of ship steadying after the wobbles since the change of employer. My salary appears to have stabilised, and most of our home improvements are now done and paid for (or on a 0% credit card). I managed a 30% savings rate, with a 2.47% increase in my net worth. My previously smooth curve on my net worth graph has had a jagged section, but I’m back to all time highs. The usual cash regular savers were topped up, although my 3% regular saver with the Monmouthshire is due to end next month, and new money in the Freetrade S&S ISA went to increase previous holdings.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal passed: Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for

Success, I actually got round to doing these things in time for the MOT. The old daily will continue to soldier on, as it flew through with only a couple of minor points, and I’ve worked out I’ve done 1,500 miles in the six months since the job change. I’m rewarding it by ordering yet more parts (which hopefully won’t sit in the garage for months). Next goal is to get the garage cleared for the project car to return to hibernation.

Goal failed: Sell five things

I’m giving up on this for the time being, as all I’m doing at the moment is monthly dump runs.

Goal passed: Read a book thee evenings a week

I’ve been reading Dan Jones’ The Plantagenets, which is a bit of a beast and not my usual fare; I don’t generally read non-fiction unless it’s for a purpose. It’s interesting stuff, and making the time in the evenings has been relaxing. I want to keep this up, so I’m going to roll this goal over.

Goal failed(ish): Cut down on takeaway spend

We got into a bad habit in October of ordering takeaway every time we saw friends. Prior to the event we would usually go out for food once a week with various people. With that off the table we’re using takeaway instead, and actually I should just make the food. In September we spent about £180 on takeaway(!), and this has came down a bit to £130 for October, but it’s still superfluous spending, and the further £80 we spent in November is too much.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £218.11, last month £216.97
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £74.50, last month £65 
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £470.33, last month £129.54 – MOT time!
  • Holiday – £150, spent £0, last month £17.63
  • Personal – £100/ £2108.46/ £280.50
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £98/ £43.70
  • Misc – £50/ £442.02/ £705.75 – The sooner these end the better
  • Fees – £300 /£131.98/ £629.75

In the garden:

Just ticking over now. Planning to dig over the raised beds and add compost over the Christmas break.

Goals for next month:

  • Clear the garage and store the project car
  • Read a book three evenings a week
  • Cut down on takeaway spend

Happy December everyone!

The Shrink

The Financial Dashboard – October 2020

The goals for October were:

  • Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for – I’m terrible at buying parts and then never fitting them
  • Sell five things
  • Read a book thee evenings a week

Checking the assets and liabilities:

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. This was a tough month. My employer has finally remembered they overpaid me, and took the overpayment off this month’s salary. I’m going to dip into the money I set aside when I was overpaid to cover me for the month. We also had a large number of expenses relating to the renovations, some unexpected, which led us to dip into our emergency fund. Given all this my savings rate for this month was -18.14%. There’s more renovation costs to come, and some health issues might require a private medical expense, so it’s going to be a lean couple of months. The usual cash regular savers were topped up, and new money in the Freetrade S&S ISA went to increase previous holdings.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal failed: Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for

Goal failed: Sell five things

Goal failed: Read a book thee evenings a week

These were all write-offs. I’ve been doing a 90-hour work week, with renovation work on top. Roll on next month.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £216.97, last month £181.42
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £65, last month £97.16 – Still spending too much on takeaways, easy to do when the house is full of dust and chaos.
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £129.54, last month £147.72
  • Holiday – £150, spent £17.63, last month £118.99 
  • Personal – £100/ £280.50/ £87.26
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £43.70/ £50
  • Misc – £50/ £705.75/ £604.72 – Further renovation costs
  • Fees – £300 /£629.75/ £268.60

In the garden:

Shut everything down for the winter, harvesting off the last of the squashes. I’ve got chinese cabbage, kale and winter lettuces on the go in the greenhouse.

Goals for next month:

  • Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for – I’m terrible at buying parts and then never fitting them
  • Sell five things
  • Read a book thee evenings a week
  • Cut down on takeaway spend

Happy November everyone!

The Shrink

The Financial Dashboard – September 2020

The goals for September were:

  • Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for – I’m terrible at buying parts and then never fitting them
  • Exercise four times a week
  • Sell five things

Checking the assets and liabilities:

These are taken, as always, from my Beast Budget spreadsheet. My pay appears to have levelled out, but yet to be asked to pay back the previous excess. After a couple of months of falling net worth as we spent on house renovations (new windows, some structural stuff, remodelling two rooms), my net worth increased by 5.23%. This was entirely due to an increase in the (paper) valuation of my home, which I take from Zoopla/ Nationwide data. My savings rate for this month was 21.93%, not too shabby considering the spending. The usual cash regular savers were topped up, and new money in the Freetrade S&S ISA went to increase previous holdings.

If you fancy a free share, sign up to Freetrade with this link (I also get one).

Goals:

Goal failed: Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for

I continue to collect car parts, but work life has been busy and home renovations take up the majority of my spare time. Hopefully next month this will happen.

Goal achieved: Exercise four times a week

Regular exercise continues to have a huge impact on my general wellbeing. I’ve tried to get four sessions a week in exactly, but life is too unpredictable, so only an average has been possible. Now I’m in the habit hopefully it remains.

Goal failed: Sell five things

Again, too caught up in other things, but I did at least give some items away. Once renovation work is finished I should able to have a proper clear out.

Budgets:

  • Groceries – Budget £200, spent £181.42, last month £175.55
  • Entertainment – Budget £100, spent £97.16, last month £84.95 – Mainly takeaways and eating out with friends whilst we still could
  • Transport – Budget £250, spent £147.72, last month £144.72 – Minimal travel these days
  • Holiday – £150, spent £118.99, last month £78.44 – A little holiday
  • Personal – £100/ £87.26/ £123.76
  • Loans/ Credit – £50/ £50/ £50 – Repayments begin
  • Misc – £50/ £604.72/ £70.25
  • Fees – £300 /£268.60/ £129.97– Another month, another pound of flesh to work

In the garden:

Left to run wild. Marrows the size of your thigh. Time to get the scythe and spade out.

Goals for next month:

  • Fix the bits on the cars I’ve already bought parts for – I’m terrible at buying parts and then never fitting them
  • Sell five things
  • Read a book thee evenings a week

Happy October everyone!

The Shrink

The Full English Accompaniment – Negative interest rates

Life’s turning into a real tough place to earn a return. Lots of talk from the BoE over the last couple of weeks about the potential for negative interest rates in the UK (1, 2). I’m not fully sold on negative interest rates. Japan has been trying it for several years with minimal effect (3). Feels slightly like a last roll of the dice from desperate men. This video from The Plain Bagel has a good explanation of how and why they’re supposed to work (4):

Couple that with NS&I, the last bastion of inflation-beating/equalling interest rates on savings announcing a cut to it’s interest rates, and things aren’t so rosy (5). Premium bond rates are also getting a haircut (6). Can’t really blame NS&I. They were tasked by the government with raising money through national savings. They were so wildly successful their IT systems have failed to keep up (7, 8).

So savings interest is getting chopped, and the stock market is looking bubbly. Speculation and individual stock manias appear to be driving at least a proportion of portfolio returns (9). The sustainability of the current run is debatable. Taken together I have concerns about the viability of my FI plan. There was an interesting article in the Telegraph this week, discussing whether the 4% rule for pensions will stack up in the era of low interest rates and volatile returns (10). Plenty of FI-ers plan using the 4% rule, based upon those ‘long-run averages’, to return necessary FI goal numbers. If we’re heading into a further decade of 1% returns on bonds/ savings, people will have to take more ‘risk’, diversify into property or equities to try and maintain their required 4%. Will house price increases or BTL supply those returns, or will it all come down to bull markets? The future is looking murky, and we continue to live in interesting times.

Have a great week,

The Shrink

P.S. I appear to be particularly miserable/ morbid/ grumpy today, so sorry about that.

News:

Blogs/ Opinions:

References:

  1. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/sep/17/bank-of-england-keeps-interest-rates-at-01-but-warns-on-economic-outlook
  2. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54314971
  3. https://www.investopedia.com/articles/markets/080716/why-negative-interest-rates-are-still-not-working-japan.asp
  4. https://youtu.be/pX3_3NMZa0k
  5. https://www.theguardian.com/money/2020/sep/21/nsi-savings-rates-premium-bonds-prizes-direct-saver-investment-account-isas
  6. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54232018
  7. https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/saving/article-8775437/NS-plunges-meltdown-Delays-rates-tumble.html
  8. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ns-amp-i-says-sorry-for-poor-customer-service-as-it-slashes-rates-2bmk7pvsl
  9. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4375276-macroview-newton-physics-and-market-bubble
  10. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/how-low-interest-rates-killed-magic-4-retirement-rule-vbbvvdt3c
  11. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/sep/20/leak-reveals-2tn-of-possibly-corrupt-us-financial-activity
  12. https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-8750989/Nvidia-hits-bid-block-deal-tech-giant-Arm.html
  13. http://astrobiology.com/2020/09/phosphine-detected-in-the-atmosphere-of-venus—an-indicator-of-possible-life.html
  14. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0237839
  15. https://www.airbnb.co.uk/rooms/44999445?_set_bev_on_new_domain=1600083186_IvH1VwA96IkDx8UK&source_impression_id=p3_1600083186_IFtPoKvH1zXUopRm
  16. https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/goldhawk-road-shepherds-bush-w12/SHE121014
  17. https://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-83955202.html
  18. http://quietlysaving.co.uk/2020/09/15/milestone-reached/
  19. https://www.firemusings.org/updated-cost-of-coffee-cake-cookies/
  20. https://pathtolife2.com/2020/09/17/financial-independence-update-august-2020/
  21. https://southwalesfi.co.uk/2020/09/18/why-dividend-stocks-arent-as-good-as-they-sound/
  22. https://moneygrower.co.uk/10000-in-cumulative-dividend-income/
  23. https://asimplelifewithsam.com/2020/09/18/ideas-for-meal-planning/
  24. https://www.moneymage.net/6-reasons-to-batch-cook/
  25. https://www.muchmorewithless.co.uk/ration-challenge-meal-plan/
  26. https://playingwithfire.uk/living-and-working-abroad-can-you-get-to-fire-sooner/
  27. https://www.onemillionjourney.com/millionaire-interview-series-6-educatorfi/
  28. http://thefijourney.co.uk/wp/2020/09/20/project-2235-september-2020-update-a-new-normal/
  29. https://indeedably.com/explain-money-to-me/
  30. https://sassenachsaving.home.blog/2020/09/26/musings-on-turning-fifty/
  31. http://diyinvestoruk.blogspot.com/2020/09/plug-power-portfolio-addition.html
  32. https://averagemoneymanagement.wordpress.com/2020/09/25/blocking-out-the-noise/
  33. https://www.foxymonkey.com/beat-inflation/
  34. https://drfire.co.uk/the-long-tail/
  35. https://bankeronfire.com/build-wealth-with-the-80-20-rule
  36. https://gentlemansfamilyfinances.wordpress.com/2020/09/19/trading-up/
  37. https://medfiblog.wordpress.com/2020/09/24/flight-distance-a-p2p-story/
  38. https://www.itinvestor.co.uk/2020/09/worldwide-healthcare-trust/
  39. https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/beware-dodgy-sellers-targeting-wannabe-influencers-to-peddle-rubbish-goods-online/
  40. https://sparklebeeblog.wordpress.com/2020/09/23/september-activities/
  41. https://monevator.com/should-you-use-cash-to-bridge-the-gap-between-your-isas-and-your-pension/
  42. https://monevator.com/weekend-reading-daddy-what-did-you-do-in-the-great-pandemic/